STRATEGY — Chev's Edge
Live confluence, R:R, and every call he's made — the numbers behind the trash talk.
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Overview
Chev's Thoughts
Why It Skips
Performance
Raw Log
⚖️ Weight Lab
📄 Full Report
📖 Learn
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🧑💻 Elliot's Suggestions — read one card instead of auditing every toolⓘ
🩸 Scorecard (all-time, paper)ⓘ
Win Rate
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Profit Factor
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Expectancy / Trade
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Total Closed
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Net P&L
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Scratches
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📈 Equity Curve Your paper account balance over time — every closed trade moves this line.ⓘ
🗺️ Setup Volume When opportunities show up — which days and hours (UTC) the scanner finds the most setups.ⓘ
All
🔥 Posted
🤔 Skipped
🔧 Gate/Gauntlet Rejects
🚦 The Funnel (last 24h)ⓘ
🧩 Skip/Reject Reasons (last 24h)ⓘ
🗣️ Why Chev Himself Skips (last 24h)— his own stated reasoning, grouped into categories
📊 Skip Reason Robustness — which of the above are a real edge vs. still just noiseⓘ
Each bar is progress toward enough INDEPENDENT evidence to trust a verdict — overlapping same-direction bets in the same window get downweighted, so this fills slower than the raw counts above. "Robust" means the edge survived being checked against data it wasn't found on; "Not robust" means it looked real once but didn't hold up — leave it alone, don't chase it.
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🕯️ Shadow Outcomes — hypothetical, costs modelledⓘ
These are "what-if" numbers from trades we did NOT take. They assume everything went perfectly — treat them as clues for tuning, never as results.
🟢 Bullets Dodged (shadow R)
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🔴 Money Left on Table (shadow R)
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🎰 Gate Scoreboard — downstream kills (shadow WR / shadow R)ⓘ
🏷️ Shadow Tag Leaderboard — skipped/killed setups onlyⓘ
Skips are ~95% of escalations — a 15–20× multiplier of labeled evidence on which tags precede winning moves. But skipped setups are not a random sample; Chev skipped them for reasons. Evidence Chev may be under-trusting these — leads for review, not verdicts.
🧬 Shadow Combo Leaderboard — skipped/killed setups only, greyed out below the shadow trust minimumⓘ
📉 Weekly Regret Trend Missed profits by week — what the trades we skipped would have earned. Falling is good.ⓘ
🎯 Win Rate by Gradeⓘ
🏆 Confluence Tag Leaderboard (real win rate)ⓘ
🧬 Confluence Combination Leaderboard — greyed out = not enough closed trades to trust yetⓘ
📊 Planned R:R Distribution — Dexter's actual cost-adjusted formula, at entry timeⓘ
📉 System Over Timeⓘ
R:R Pressure — enforced floor, EV-advisory, Chev's proposals (median, min–max band)
Threshold vs Flow — escalation-score threshold, escalations/day, surviving POSTs/day
Stop-Distance Reality — median stop_pct (P10–P90 band) vs crypto day-trade cost floor
🧰 Indicator Scoreboardⓘ
| Indicator | Points | Real WR | Trend | Shadow WR | n |
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🪞 Self-Check Rate — Chev grading his own reasoning, not an independent checkⓘ
Codes here are shown exactly as logged — see the Learn tab for what they mean.
| Time | Symbol | TF | Score | Decision | Reason | Detail |
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⚖️ Weight Lab — loop-closerⓘ
📄 Full Counterfactual Report
Same "what-if" numbers as the Shadow Outcomes section above, just the full printable version — read top to bottom for the complete per-category breakdown.
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📚 Learn the Strategy — what do you want to understand today?
📈 The Trade Life Cycle — the story of how a trade actually happens, start to finish — is coming in the next pass.
Elliot
Elliot's Suggestions
🗺️ Sections
📖 Glossary
Confluence Tags
No setups on radar. Chev's watching.
Waiting on Dexter…
No closed trades yet. Still hunting.